Forecasting ticket sales for Cincinnati Shakespeare Company
Plot
Model Fit
Prediction For Incomplete Shows
Current Prediction For Single Show
Prediction for a Generic Show
Choose a show (note that this list includes some shows that are incomplete and are not used in building a predictive model):
Hamlet
The 39 Steps
Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead
Every Christmas Story Ever Told
Of Mice and Men
Twelfth Night
Henry IV
Private Lives
A Midsummer Night's Dream-17 tour*SE
Oliver Twist
The Two Noble Kinsmen
The Great Gatsby
The Birds
The Comedy of Errors
Waiting for Godot
The Complete Works of William Shakespeare (Abridged)
Little Women
The Taming of the Shrew
Henry V
One Man, Two Guvnors
Kent Rader Comedy Night
A Midsummer Night's Dream-18 tour*SE
Every Christmas Story Ever Told (And Then Some!)*
Julius Caesar-17
The Merry Wives of Windsor-17
Every Christmas Story Ever Told (And Then Some)-17*SE
Much Ado About Nothing-17
Dracula-17
Pride and Prejudice-17
The Complete Works of William Shakespeare (Abridged)-17
The Two Gentlemen of Verona-17
King John-17
The Handmaid's Tale-17
Blithe Spirit-17
My Brother, My Brother and Me-17*SE
Frankenstein: The Modern Prometheus-17
New Jerusalem-17*SE
The Complete Works of William Shakespeare (Abridged)-18
A Man for All Seasons-18
Love's Labour's Lost-18
The Merchant of Venice-18
Every Christmas Story Ever Told (And Then Some)-18*SE
The Grapes of Wrath-18
Bedroom Farce-18
Sense and Sensibility-18
Macbeth-18
Henry VIII: All is True-18
Shakespeare's Will-18
The Hound of the Baskervilles-19
Measure for Measure-19
The Hound of the Baskervilles (Encore Production)-19
The Importance of Being Earnest-19
To Kill a Mockingbird-19
A Midsummer Night's Dream-19
Every Christmas Story Ever Told (And Then Some!)-19
Romeo and Juliet-19
Dangerous Liaisons-19
Richard II-19
Titus Andronicus-19
Groundlings Present: Much Ado About Nothing-19*SE
Groundlings Present: The Winter's Tale-19*SE
Kent Rader Comedy Night-19*SE
Update View
Model Fitting
Include ticket sales information in model
No
Yes
Use cumulative sales from X days before/after 1st performance. Specify X:
Note: if 10 days before 1st performance, then X=-10; if 10 days after 1st performance, then X=10
Use sales between 'X-Z' and 'X' days before/after 1st performance. Specify Z:
Sort results by:
Genre
Interval
Season
Run Model
Include ticket sales information in model
No
Yes
Only make predictions for shows within 60 days of first open, and calculate cumulative sales and momentum for each of these shows based on the most recent ticket sale in the dataset.
Sort results by:
Genre
Interval
Prediction
show in the dataset
Show name:
Include ticket sales information in model
No
Yes
Only allow shows within 60 days of first open to be chosen.
Current total sales:
Momentum (sales in the last 3 days):
Make Prediction
Show name
Genre:
C
CC
SK
SO
Interval:
Spring
Summer
Fall
Holiday
Winter
Number of performances:
Not counting the present show, has the show been staged in season 17 or more recently? (0 means no; 1 means yes)
0
1
Include ticket sales information in model
No
Yes
Use cumulative sales from X days before/after 1st performance. Specify X:
Note: if 10 days before 1st performance, then X=-10; if 10 days after 1st performance, then X=10
Current total sales:
Momentum (sales in the last 3 days):
Run
Plot
Model Fit
Prediction For Incomplete Shows
Current Prediction for Single Show
Prediction For A Generic Show
Model fit without using ticket sales
Model Information and Predictions
Model fit using ticket sales from 'X' days before/after 1st performance
Model Information and Predictions
Model fit without using ticket sales
Model Information and Predictions
Model fit using ticket sales from 'X' days before/after 1st performance
The prediction for each show is based upon a different model, so model terms/coefficients are not displayed
Model fit without using ticket sales
Prediction and Model Information
Model fit using ticket sales from 'X' days before/after 1st performance:
Prediction and Model Information
Model fit without using ticket sales
Prediction and Model Information
Model fit using ticket sales from 'X' days before/after 1st performance:
Prediction and Model Information